The Expectations Game: Kaus, who also has some interesting results from a Democracy Corps poll, says there may be more support in the House for the "grand bargain" than some news reports allege:

Last night I ran into a veteran D.C. Democratic aide/strategist who confirmed one suspicion about the immigration bill: The House Dems are lowballing the number of votes they have for it. No way they need 70 GOP votes--though that is a number still being reported in the press. ... Senators who vote for the bill thinking the House will kill it are probably deluding themselves ... P.S.: I also suspect there is a certain amount of sandbagging going on with all the House talk about how the bill is going to be broken up and maybe just the enforcement parts passed, etc. Are they trying to ease the minds of Senate fence-sitters, assuring them the House won't approve anything like the Senate's "Grand Bargain"? This suspicion is unconfirmed, however.

One claim that probably won't "ease the minds of Senate fence-sitters":

Some House members said if the Senate passes its bill, the House is more likely to try to approve a broad bill as well. But if the Senate fails, the House will be free to move on those areas where it can find majority support.